Annual owner earnings estimate
For one U.S. DQ Treat Street or Captive-Venue store, the strongest defensible answer is a scenario range, not an official franchisor earnings figure. The manager-run range represents estimated pre-tax owner earnings before financing principal. The owner-operator range adds the market value of one full-time food service manager role, so part of that amount compensates the owner for labor performed.
Data basis
Legal franchisor: American Dairy Queen Corporation. FDD issuance date: March 26, 2026. Item 19 status: no financial performance representation. Model inputs: 2022 U.S. Economic Census data for NAICS 722515, 2022 IRS corporation statistics for Food Services and Drinking Places, and May 2025 Bureau of Labor Statistics wage data. Date checked: July 21, 2026.
The official U.S. Dairy Queen franchise website currently emphasizes DQ Grill & Chill opportunities; it is linked for brand and franchise-channel verification, not as evidence of DQ Treat sales or earnings.
Independent estimate
This analysis is an independent analytical scenario, not an Item 19 financial performance representation by American Dairy Queen Corporation. It combines identified 2026 FDD facts with separately identified government benchmarks and explicit modeling assumptions. Actual results can differ materially by location, format, sales, labor, occupancy, financing, owner involvement, seasonality, and execution.
Item 19 evidence
What does the 2026 DQ Treat FDD actually disclose?
Official answer: the March 26, 2026 DQ Treat FDD does not disclose Gross Sales, Net Sales, operating profit, EBITDA, net income, cash flow, owner compensation, or another earnings measure for DQ Treat franchised stores. Item 19 expressly states that American Dairy Queen Corporation makes no representation about future franchisee performance or the past performance of company-owned or franchised outlets. This applies to the current U.S. Street and Captive-Venue offer.
The absence of a financial performance representation is permitted under the Federal Trade Commission Franchise Rule. The FTC explains that Item 19 contains sales or earnings claims a franchisor chooses to make and that those claims must have a reasonable basis; an Item 19 disclosure is not mandatory. Buyers should distinguish that regulatory point from evidence about whether a particular store will perform well. See the FTC consumer guide to Item 19 and Item 20.
Evidence status and confidence
Mode D — Structural FDD-anchored estimate
The FDD supplies format, fee, technology, staffing, and outlet-structure facts, but no usable sales figure.
Limited confidence
The earnings range depends materially on government industry averages and an analytical spread rather than same-brand unit economics.
Item 20 also cannot supply a clean DQ Treat performance cohort. Its outlet tables combine DQ Treat, Dairy Queen/Limited Brazier, and DQ soft-serve-only locations. The detailed direct-licensed table reports 743 outlets at year-end 2025, while the summary table shows a different franchised ending count, so the combined population should not be treated as a precise DQ Treat denominator. The FDD reports no company-owned outlets substantially similar to the offered DQ Treat franchise, eliminating a same-brand company-operated profit proxy. Source: 2026 DQ Treat FDD, Item 19, pp. 49–50; Item 20, pp. 50–61.
Official
No FPR
Item 19 earnings status
No DQ Treat sales or owner-profit result is disclosed in the 2026 FDD.
Benchmark
$804,000
Average revenue anchor
2022 revenue per U.S. employer establishment in NAICS 722515; not DQ-specific and not a median.
Derived
6.8%
Pre-interest margin anchor
IRS net income plus interest paid, divided by total receipts for corporate Food Services and Drinking Places returns.
Official
10%–11%
Core percentage fees
5% continuing license fee plus a 5%–6% sales promotion fee on standard non-Orange-Julius sales.
Benchmark
$74,880
Manager labor value
May 2025 national annual mean wage for food service managers; payroll taxes and benefits are not added.
Official
2 managers
First-store requirement
One designated manager and one assistant manager must be trained and full-time on premises for a first DQ Treat store.
Revenue is not earnings
The $804,000 central revenue anchor is an average for a broad U.S. snack-and-beverage establishment population. It is neither DQ Treat Gross Sales nor owner income. The earnings model applies a separate operating-margin proxy only after defining the benchmark and its limitations.
Scenario model
How was the annual DQ Treat earnings range modeled?
Estimated answer: manager-run pre-tax owner earnings range from about $24,000 to $94,000 per store across the Conservative, Base, and Upside scenarios. The model applies to a mature operating year for one U.S. Street or Captive-Venue store; it is not a forecast for a new opening, a probability distribution, or an Item 19 result.
- Estimated pre-tax owner earnings
- Cash available to the owner after normal unit-level operating expenses and disclosed recurring franchise fees, but before personal income taxes and before financing principal payments.
- Interest treatment
- The IRS benchmark starts with “Net income (less deficit),” then adds back industry interest paid to approximate a pre-interest operating result. Store-specific interest and debt principal are therefore presented outside operating earnings.
- Depreciation and capital spending
- Depreciation remains inside the IRS expense base. The model does not separately forecast replacement capital expenditures, remodel costs, or equipment upgrades.
- Owner compensation
- The manager-run result is residual business earnings. The owner-operator result adds one manager wage as labor value and is therefore called “owner-operator benefit,” not pure business profit.
The revenue anchor uses the closest official establishment category: NAICS 722515, Snack and Nonalcoholic Beverage Bars, which includes ice cream parlors and establishments primarily serving specialty snacks or nonalcoholic beverages. The 2022 Economic Census summary table reports 78,110 establishments, $62.769 billion of revenue, and $17.106 billion of annual payroll. Dividing revenue by establishments produces the $803,603 central anchor, rounded to $804,000.
Because the 2026 FDD gives no DQ Treat sales distribution, the Conservative and Upside revenue anchors are explicit editorial assumptions at 80% and 120% of the Census average. The margin anchor uses the IRS 2022 Corporation Income Tax Returns Complete Report, Table 5.1. For corporate Food Services and Drinking Places returns, net income plus interest paid equals 6.758% of total receipts. The scenario margins are that benchmark minus three percentage points, the benchmark itself, and the benchmark plus three percentage points.
| Scenario | Revenue anchor | Pre-interest margin | Manager-run earnings | Owner-operator benefit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | $643,000 | 3.8% | $24,000 | $99,000 |
| Base | $804,000 | 6.8% | $54,000 | $129,000 |
| Upside | $964,000 | 9.8% | $94,000 | $169,000 |
Model assumptions
- The Census revenue figure is an employer-establishment average, not a DQ Treat average, median, quartile, or mature-store cohort.
- The IRS margin is a broad corporate Food Services and Drinking Places proxy and already reflects aggregate operating deductions; DQ fees are not subtracted a second time. The tax-return data do not identify whether management labor was supplied by an owner or an employee.
- Conservative, Base, and Upside combine revenue and margin sensitivities. They are analytical cases, not probabilities or franchisor projections.
- The model excludes personal income taxes, financing principal, store-specific interest, distributions policy, retained earnings, and multi-unit overhead.
How owner involvement changes the annual result
Estimated manager-run pre-tax owner earnings compared with owner-operator benefit, one store
Interpretation: owner operation changes the economic result primarily by converting a paid management role into compensation for the owner’s own full-time work. The $74,880 difference is labor value, not passive profit.
Sources: scenario calculations using 2022 Census and IRS benchmarks; May 2025 national mean food service manager wage from the Bureau of Labor Statistics OEWS national wage table. Values rounded to the nearest $1,000.
Owner role
Can a DQ Treat owner replace the general manager?
Official-plus-estimated answer: the Controlling Owner does not have to manage the store day to day, but a first DQ Treat location must have a trained designated manager and a trained assistant manager who devote full time and attention to on-premises operations. An owner-operator scenario is therefore reasonable only when the owner meets American Dairy Queen Corporation’s experience and training requirements and actually fills the designated-manager role.
What does the manager-run scenario measure?
Estimated answer: for one mature U.S. DQ Treat store, the $24,000–$94,000 manager-run range is residual pre-tax owner earnings after the broad IRS benchmark’s normal operating deductions, including labor and management costs, but before financing principal and personal income taxes. It is intended to represent business profit available to an owner who hires the required operating management team.
What does the owner-operator scenario measure?
Estimated answer: the $99,000–$169,000 owner-operator benefit adds the May 2025 national mean food service manager wage of $74,880 to the manager-run residual. Part of the result is compensation for the owner’s management labor. The add-back does not include employer payroll taxes or benefits, and it does not assume that the owner can eliminate the assistant-manager position. Because IRS aggregate returns do not separate owner-supplied management from employee management, the incremental labor value can be overstated or understated for a specific store.
Owner-operator effect
A buyer should not compare $129,000 of Base owner-operator benefit with $54,000 of Base manager-run profit as though both were passive returns. Roughly $75,000 of the difference reflects a full-time management job performed by the owner.
Source: 2026 DQ Treat FDD, Item 15, pp. 44–45; Item 11 training provisions, pp. 37–40. The BLS wage is a national cross-industry occupation benchmark, not a DQ Treat payroll disclosure.
Recurring obligations
How much revenue is committed to disclosed DQ Treat fees?
Official and derived answer: standard non-Orange-Julius sales are subject to a 5% Continuing License Fee and a 5%–6% Sales Promotion Program Fee, a combined 10%–11% of Gross Sales before food, hourly labor, management payroll, occupancy, utilities, insurance, repairs, and other operating costs. At the $804,000 Base revenue anchor, disclosed core percentage fees plus selected fixed technology and gift-card charges total roughly $87,000–$97,000 per year.
Disclosed recurring fee load at the $804,000 Base revenue anchor
Illustrative annual amounts for standard non-Orange-Julius sales; selected fixed fees included
Interpretation: the chart describes the disclosed fee burden; it is not an additional deduction from the scenario earnings because the IRS all-in margin proxy already reflects aggregate business deductions. Subtracting these fees again would double count costs.
Source: 2026 DQ Treat FDD, Item 6, pp. 14–17, and Item 11, pp. 35–37. Selected fixed fees include EPOS software, hardware warranty, managed firewall, TransArmor, and the estimated gift-card program charge. Calculations use full-precision Base revenue and are rounded for display.
The chart excludes several variable or store-specific obligations: Olo’s 0.25% per-order fee, card processing estimated at 2%–5% of card sales, Verifone fees by terminal, PCI compliance costs, lease-required promotion charges, internet, local occupancy expenses, training replacement costs, and future required upgrades. Orange Julius product rates and specialty Captive-Venue arrangements can differ. The exact fee bridge must therefore be rebuilt from a proposed store’s product mix, card mix, lease, technology configuration, and then-current fee schedules.
Uncertainty
What can push actual owner earnings outside the range?
Uncertain answer: actual annual earnings for a U.S. DQ Treat Street or Captive-Venue store can fall below $24,000, exceed $94,000, or produce a loss because the 2026 FDD supplies no same-brand sales or margin distribution. The range is most sensitive to store revenue and the operating margin retained after food, labor, occupancy, and recurring fees.
- Street versus Captive-Venue economics
- The FDD identifies materially different footprints and occupancy structures: Street locations are approximately 1,000–1,800 square feet and ordinarily owned, while Captive-Venue locations are approximately 600–1,400 square feet and ordinarily leased within a larger structure. The model does not merge these formats into an asserted DQ-specific average.
- Location and seasonality
- Traffic, weather, local demand, competition, menu mix, and the operating calendar can materially change sales. The Census average does not control for DQ Treat seasonality or site quality.
- Labor and management execution
- The 2022 NAICS 722515 payroll average was about 27.3% of revenue, but it includes many different snack-and-beverage concepts. Wage rates, scheduling, turnover, training, and the required management structure can move the store result substantially.
- Occupancy and payment mix
- Base rent, percentage rent, common-area charges, utilities, and card-processing expense vary by site. Captive-Venue leases may also impose separate promotion or venue charges.
- Financing
- American Dairy Queen Corporation generally does not provide site, equipment, or leasehold financing. Third-party lenders set rates and terms. Debt principal is excluded from the earnings range, and store-specific interest should be tested separately.
- Personal taxes and distributions
- No after-tax take-home figure is published. Entity structure, jurisdiction, deductions, owner salary, draws, distributions, retained earnings, and personal circumstances determine cash ultimately received.
Largest unresolved uncertainty
The missing variable is a DQ Treat-specific relationship between mature-store Gross Sales and store-level operating profit for Street and Captive-Venue outlets. Neither the 2026 Item 19 nor a comparable company-operated population supplies that relationship.
Buyer verification
What should a buyer verify before relying on this range?
Decision-useful answer: a buyer should treat the $24,000–$94,000 manager-run range and $99,000–$169,000 owner-operator benefit as screening estimates for one mature U.S. DQ Treat store, then replace every external assumption with written same-store evidence. The most important work is obtaining comparable Street or Captive-Venue sales, expense, and owner-role information.
Verification checklist
- Confirm that the final FDD and every amendment still state that Item 19 contains no financial performance representation.
- Ask whether written substantiation exists for any sales, margin, labor, or earnings statement made during the sales process; compare it with the FTC’s Item 19 rules.
- Interview current franchisees operating the same format, region, climate, operating calendar, and maturity profile; ask for annual Gross Sales, food cost, labor, manager payroll, occupancy, repairs, technology, and local promotion expense.
- Separate owner salary, draws, distributions, retained earnings, and residual business profit. Ask how many hours the owner works and which paid role the owner actually replaces.
- For an existing-store acquisition, review the outlet’s actual records, tax returns, payroll reports, merchant statements, lease, equipment history, and required remodel or upgrade schedule.
- Rebuild the 5% license fee, 5%–6% promotion fee, technology charges, transaction fees, card costs, gift-card fees, lease charges, and any Orange Julius product treatment using current written schedules.
- Model debt service separately with the proposed loan amount, rate, amortization, fees, and collateral terms. Do not use operating earnings as after-debt cash flow.
The FTC advises prospects to scrutinize Item 19, consult an experienced attorney and accountant, and speak with current and former franchisees. The FTC Franchise Fundamentals guidance is useful for evaluating financial claims. For the IRS metric definition, see the IRS definition of “Net income (less deficit)”.
Decision synthesis
What is the strongest defensible earnings takeaway?
Final assessment: for one mature U.S. DQ Treat Street or Captive-Venue store, the strongest defensible screening range is $24,000–$94,000 of estimated manager-run pre-tax owner earnings, or $99,000–$169,000 of estimated owner-operator benefit when the owner validly replaces one full-time manager. These are Mode D scenarios with Limited confidence, not official DQ Treat earnings disclosures.
The main earnings driver is the combination of store revenue and operating margin after food, labor, occupancy, and recurring fees. The largest unresolved uncertainty is the absence of DQ Treat-specific Item 19 sales and profit evidence by format and maturity. Before making a decision, a buyer should verify the current Item 19 language, request written substantiation for any financial statement, and test the model against comparable franchisee records and interviews.
Rounding: calculations use full-precision source inputs and are rounded only for publication. The analysis does not calculate after-tax take-home pay, return on investment, payback period, valuation, or break-even.