This is the central official 2025 4-Wall EBITDA range for franchised Popeyes restaurants in the $1.5 million to $2.0 million annual-sales band. The 2026 Franchise Disclosure Document reports $190,993 to $194,886 for free-standing restaurants and $202,917 to $206,236 for in-line restaurants, using median and average results. It is a store-level earnings measure, not an owner’s after-tax take-home pay.
Legal franchisor: Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen, Inc., a Minnesota corporation. Current document: 2026 U.S. Franchise Disclosure Document, issued March 20, 2026. Item 19: 2025 Annual Sales and 4-Wall EBITDA for qualifying U.S. restaurants, excluding U.S. territories. Applicable earnings population: franchised free-standing and in-line restaurants that operated continuously through 2025 and supplied usable profit-and-loss statements. Food court restaurants have sales disclosure but no matching EBITDA table. External benchmark used: May 2025 national Food Service Manager wages from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Date checked: July 21, 2026.
What does Popeyes actually disclose about owner earnings?
Popeyes discloses 4-Wall EBITDA, not owner salary, distributions, net income, or after-tax cash. For franchised free-standing and in-line restaurants, Item 19 defines EBITDA as Annual Sales minus Food and Paper Costs, Labor Costs, and Other Costs. The measure includes restaurant-level hourly and management labor, royalty, advertising-fund contributions, rent and other occupancy expense, utilities, insurance, consumer-ordering technology fees, and numerous other unit expenses.
The strongest central comparison is the $1.5 million to $2.0 million sales band because both the 2025 free-standing average and median sales and the in-line average and median sales fall in that band. Free-standing restaurants produced average 4-Wall EBITDA of $194,886 and median 4-Wall EBITDA of $190,993. In-line restaurants produced average 4-Wall EBITDA of $206,236 and median 4-Wall EBITDA of $202,917. These are official FDD results for 2025, not projections.
- Included before EBITDA
- Food and paper, restaurant-level hourly and management labor, payroll-related costs, royalty, advertising-fund contributions, rent and occupancy, utilities, insurance, technology and subscription fees, local store marketing, repairs, supplies, and other reported unit operating costs.
- Excluded from EBITDA
- Interest, income taxes, depreciation, amortization, gains or losses on asset sales, impairment, franchise fees, and loan fees. Capital expenditures and financing principal payments also are not deductions in the reported EBITDA calculation.
- Owner compensation
- The FDD says Labor Costs do not include an owner’s draw. It does not present a standardized owner salary, distribution, or personal tax calculation.
- Above-store overhead
- District managers, area managers, life insurance, maintenance labor, and auto expenses are generally excluded, although the FDD notes they could be included when a franchisee did not report them separately.
FDD source: Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen, Inc. 2026 Franchise Disclosure Document, Item 19, pages 88–95. The FDD states that franchisee sales and expense information is self-reported or obtained through point-of-sale systems and was not audited by the franchisor.
What is a reasonable conservative, base, and upside range?
For a free-standing restaurant, a defensible three-band view is approximately $41,000, $195,000, and $331,000 of annual 4-Wall EBITDA. These values are the official Item 19 average results for the under-$1.5 million, $1.5 million-to-$2.0 million, and $2.0 million-to-$2.5 million sales bands. “Conservative,” “Base,” and “Upside” are analytical labels applied to disclosed bands; they are not probabilities, forecasts, or franchisor promises.
Free-standing 4-Wall EBITDA across three sales bands
Official 2025 averages; scenario labels are editorial, while the sales and EBITDA values are FDD-reported.
Interpretation: Sales volume is the largest visible earnings driver in Table IV. The average free-standing EBITDA margin rises from 3.5% below $1.5 million of sales to 11.2% in the central band and 14.9% in the $2.0 million-to-$2.5 million band.
Source: 2026 FDD, Item 19, pages 88–89. The FDD also reports a higher sales band above $2.5 million with average EBITDA of $547,990; it is omitted from the three-band scenario because it represents a distinctly higher revenue cohort rather than a routine upside assumption.
| Official 2025 sales band | Free-standing average EBITDA | In-line average EBITDA | What the band shows |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under $1.5 million | $41,234 | $88,814 | Low sales can leave little store-level earnings cushion, especially for free-standing units. |
| $1.5 million–$2.0 million | $194,886 | $206,236 | Central band containing the disclosed average and median sales for both formats. |
| $2.0 million–$2.5 million | $331,499 | $315,259 | Higher sales support greater labor and occupancy leverage in the reported averages. |
| Above $2.5 million | $547,990 | $579,799 | High-volume cohort; useful as an official upper band, not as a typical outcome. |
The weighted all-sample average is approximately $234,477 of 4-Wall EBITDA per reporting unit. This is a reproducible calculation, not a figure explicitly printed by the franchisor: the eight format-and-sales-band average EBITDA amounts are multiplied by their disclosed restaurant counts, summed, and divided by 2,435. The calculation yields about $236,161 for free-standing units and $226,579 for in-line units.
How does active owner involvement change the result?
An active owner may convert part of paid management labor into owner labor value, but that does not turn the entire EBITDA figure into passive income. Item 15 recommends, but does not require, an individual owner to serve as Managing Director. The Managing Director must exercise full day-to-day control, devote full-time and best efforts, live within reasonable driving distance, and meet Popeyes training requirements. The restaurant must remain under the direct on-premises supervision of a Popeyes Certified Manager.
The May 2025 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics national mean annual wage for Food Service Managers was $74,880. Adding that wage to the central-band average 4-Wall EBITDA illustrates the labor value an owner might capture when the owner genuinely replaces a paid manager. The result must be labeled estimated owner-operator benefit, because it combines residual business earnings with compensation for full-time work.
Manager-run EBITDA versus estimated owner-operator benefit
Central $1.5 million-to-$2.0 million sales band; owner-operator benefit adds the BLS national mean Food Service Manager wage.
Interpretation: The $74,880 increase represents labor performed by the owner, not additional passive business profit. A Popeyes operator may still need other certified managers, and local market compensation may be higher or lower.
Sources: 2026 FDD, Item 19, pages 88–90; Item 15, pages 66–67; BLS May 2025 national occupational wage table.
Which costs still separate EBITDA from owner take-home pay?
Royalty, advertising, occupancy, unit labor, and many technology costs are already included in the FDD’s 4-Wall EBITDA, so subtracting them again would double-count expenses. Item 19’s Other Costs include royalty payments, advertising-fund contributions, rent and occupancy, utilities, insurance, local store marketing, consumer-ordering technology, training-platform fees, subscriptions, repairs, and operating supplies.
However, 4-Wall EBITDA is still above several cash demands. Interest is excluded, financing principal is not an income-statement expense, capital expenditures are not deducted, personal income taxes are excluded, and certain above-store expenses may sit outside the unit result. A debt-heavy acquisition or a major remodel can therefore produce owner cash materially below the reported EBITDA.
- Interest: excluded from EBITDA and dependent on the borrower, rate, loan structure, and financed amount.
- Principal payments: paid from cash but not deducted in EBITDA.
- Capital spending: remodels, replacements, and major equipment outlays can reduce distributable cash even though they are not operating expenses in the EBITDA formula.
- Above-store overhead: district or area management, maintenance labor, vehicles, and portfolio administration may be additional costs for multi-unit owners.
- Personal taxes: not estimated here because entity form, jurisdiction, deductions, and owner circumstances differ.
How material are the recurring franchise fees?
The standard royalty is 5% of Gross Sales, and the disclosed advertising contribution is 4.6% to 5.0% of Gross Sales. Item 6 also lists current advertising cooperative contributions of 0.5% to 1.75% in participating markets, an additional consumer-ordering technology charge, training-platform maintenance, the PLK Foundation contribution, and other fixed or variable fees. These charges matter, but the 4-Wall EBITDA tables already place royalty, advertising-fund contributions, technology, and related unit expenses within Other Costs.
The exact fee burden is contract- and market-specific. The 2026 FDD describes incentive programs and alternative-venue exceptions, and it states that new franchisees participate in an advertising-fund test program. A buyer should model the signed agreement rather than applying only the headline royalty and advertising percentages.
How much confidence should a buyer place in the range?
The evidence confidence is HIGH for restaurant-level 4-Wall EBITDA and lower for personal owner take-home. The current Item 19 directly reports sales, expense ratios, EBITDA margins, EBITDA dollars, sample sizes, sales bands, operational tiers, definitions, and exclusions for a broad franchised-unit population. The central owner-cash question remains uncertain because debt, capital expenditures, above-store overhead, and owner compensation are not standardized.
The free-standing sales table covers 2,248 franchised restaurants continuously operated throughout 2025; 61 franchised free-standing restaurants were excluded because they were not continuously operated. The in-line table covers 496 continuously operated franchised restaurants; 13 were excluded for temporary closure. The food court table covers 187 continuously operated franchised restaurants and reports sales only. Because the FDD separates these formats, food court revenue should not be paired with free-standing or in-line EBITDA margins.
Item 20 adds system context: franchised outlets increased from 3,079 at the start of 2025 to 3,134 at year-end, while 104 opened, 14 were terminated, two were not renewed, and 33 ceased operations for other reasons. Those system counts do not prove profitability, but they prevent the earnings sample from being read without outlet turnover context.
- Request Item 19 written substantiation and reconcile the relevant sales band, format, and Operational Tier to the proposed site.
- Ask existing franchisees for restaurant-level income statements that separate owner draw, owner salary, manager salary, district overhead, maintenance labor, and vehicle expense.
- Confirm whether the proposed restaurant is free-standing, in-line, convenience-store, food court, airport, college, military, or another alternative venue before selecting any earnings benchmark.
- Model the exact royalty, advertising-fund rate, advertising cooperative contribution, technology charges, rent structure, and required local marketing in the signed documents.
- Verify expected replacement and remodel capital spending, not just annual operating expenses.
- Stress-test debt interest and principal separately from 4-Wall EBITDA and do not calculate personal taxes from the FDD result.
- Interview both current and former franchisees listed in Item 20 about staffing, manager retention, labor scheduling, food cost, occupancy, digital fees, and the time demanded of the Managing Director.
What is the decision-ready earnings view?
The strongest defensible central range is $191,000 to $206,000 per year of official 4-Wall EBITDA for a franchised free-standing or in-line Popeyes restaurant in the $1.5 million-to-$2.0 million sales band. This range is official Item 19 evidence, but it is not standardized owner take-home. A weighted calculation across all 2,435 reporting units produces approximately $234,477 of 4-Wall EBITDA per unit, while the official sales-band averages extend from $41,234 to $579,799 depending on format and volume.
The most important earnings driver in the disclosure is sales volume, followed by labor, food and paper, occupancy, and operational execution. The largest unresolved uncertainty is how much reported EBITDA converts to owner cash after financing, capital spending, above-store overhead, and owner compensation. Before relying on any figure, a buyer should verify the precise Item 19 cohort, obtain written substantiation, inspect unit-level records, and test the assumptions through interviews with current and former franchisees.
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