Direct owner-earnings answer
For a modeled 200-room U.S. Autograph Collection hotel, this is a defensible range for property-level EBITDA available to ownership before interest, loan principal, depreciation, personal income taxes, and renewal or replacement capital spending. It is not annual take-home pay, and it is not an earnings figure reported by MIF, L.L.C.
Independent estimate
This range is an independent analytical scenario, not an Item 19 financial performance representation by the franchisor. It combines identified facts from the 2026 Franchise Disclosure Document with a separately identified full-service hotel operating benchmark and explicit revenue and margin sensitivities. Actual results can differ materially by location, hotel format, sales mix, labor, occupancy, financing, owner involvement, property condition, and execution.
Data basis
- Legal franchisor
- MIF, L.L.C.
- Disclosure document
- 2026 Autograph Collection Domestic Franchise Disclosure Document, issued March 31, 2026.
- Item 19 status
- Official ADR, occupancy, RevPAR, RevPAR Index, conversion, reservations, and loyalty metrics; no total revenue, operating profit, EBITDA, net income, cash flow, owner compensation, or owner distributions.
- Applicable population
- 130 mature franchised Autograph Collection hotels in the United States and Canada that met the stated STR inclusion conditions; the FDD does not publish a U.S.-only breakout.
- External benchmark
- Host Hotels & Resorts 2025 comparable-hotel Total RevPAR, room RevPAR, and hotel EBITDA margin, used only as a full-service portfolio proxy.
- Date checked
- July 18, 2026.
Evidence confidence
LIMITED
The same-brand FDD provides a strong room-revenue anchor but no same-brand profit measure. The estimated range therefore depends materially on an external high-end full-service hotel revenue-mix and EBITDA-margin proxy.
The FDD is the controlling source for brand facts and fees. The external benchmark does not overwrite the FDD or establish what any Autograph Collection hotel will earn.
Official FDD
$197.30
Average RevPAR
2025 average for 130 mature franchised hotels in the United States and Canada.
Derived
$14.40M
Modeled annual room sales
$197.30 × 200 rooms × 365 days. This is room revenue, not owner earnings.
Scenario
$24.05M
Central total operating revenue
Room sales expanded by the Host Hotels 2025 Total RevPAR-to-room RevPAR ratio.
Official FDD
7.02%
Core variable brand charges
5% franchise fee plus 2.02% Program Services Contribution on gross room sales.
Benchmark
28.9%
Comparable-hotel EBITDA margin
Host Hotels & Resorts full-year 2025 portfolio measure; not an Autograph Collection result.
Scenario model
How much may an Autograph Collection hotel owner earn annually?
The scenario answer is approximately $5.0 million to $9.2 million of annual property-level EBITDA for a 200-room U.S. hotel, with a central modeled result of about $7.0 million. These are estimated operating earnings before financing, depreciation, personal taxes, and capital replacement—not cash distributions to an individual owner.
The calculation starts with the 2025 Item 19 average RevPAR of $197.30, applies the FDD's 200-room new-build format as a structural unit, estimates ancillary revenue using Host Hotels & Resorts' 2025 relationship between Total RevPAR and room RevPAR, and then applies a conservative, base, or upside hotel EBITDA margin.
Conservative
$4.98M
Estimated total revenue of $19.24 million and a 25.9% EBITDA margin.
Base
$6.95M
Estimated total revenue of $24.05 million and a 28.9% EBITDA margin.
Upside
$9.21M
Estimated total revenue of $28.86 million and a 31.9% EBITDA margin.
Estimated annual property-level EBITDA by scenario
The revenue spread is analytical; the FDD does not publish total hotel revenue or owner earnings.
Interpretation: The range is wide because the model changes both revenue and margin. It should not be read as a probability distribution or as a franchisor forecast.
Sources: 2026 Autograph Collection Domestic FDD, Item 19, pp. 108–115; Host Hotels & Resorts full-year 2025 operating results. Calculations are independent.
Item 19 evidence
What does the 2026 FDD actually report?
Item 19 officially reports room-rate and room-demand performance—not owner income. For calendar 2025, 130 mature franchised Autograph Collection hotels in the United States and Canada reported average ADR of $277.53, occupancy of 71.1%, and RevPAR of $197.30.
RevPAR is gross room sales divided by available rooms. It excludes food and beverage, spa, parking, meetings, and other operating revenue, and it does not deduct labor, occupancy costs, franchise charges, management fees, insurance, property taxes, capital reserves, or debt service. Calling RevPAR “earnings” would materially overstate what the FDD proves.
| Official 2025 metric | Average | Median | Reported range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Daily Room Rate (ADR) | $277.53 | $258.43 | $133.27–$692.30 |
| Occupancy (OCC) | 71.1% | 72.7% | 39.8%–86.2% |
| Revenue per Available Room (RevPAR) | $197.30 | $185.29 | $63.66–$566.32 |
| RevPAR Index | 118.7 | 121.1 | 28.8–243.9 |
Sample limitation
The 130-hotel cohort included only franchised properties that reported STR data, had operated as franchised Autograph Collection hotels for at least two years, and avoided specified material renovations or expansions. The FDD combines U.S. and Canadian hotels and converts Canadian results into U.S. dollars; it does not disclose a U.S.-only average or identify the room-count distribution.
Does the conversion data prove higher owner earnings?
No. The conversion disclosure is official operating-performance evidence, not a profit study. For 31 qualifying conversion hotels opened under the brand from 2015 through 2022, average RevPAR rose from $114.73 before conversion to $140.44 in the first full 12 months and $152.38 in the second full 12 months after conversion. Those changes do not show the renovation cost, incremental franchise expense, management cost, financing burden, or owner distributions.
Revenue-to-earnings bridge
How are FDD fees treated in the owner-earnings estimate?
The FDD's core recurring brand charges consume about $1.14 million, or 7.91%, of the modeled $14.40 million in annual gross room sales for a 200-room hotel before loyalty, distribution, management, labor, occupancy, insurance, taxes, and capital costs. This fee calculation is official-plus-derived; it is not a profit calculation.
Item 6 lists a 5% franchise fee and a 2.02% Program Services Contribution on gross room sales, plus $38,488 per year and $450 per guestroom per year. For 200 guestrooms, the fixed Program Services amount is $128,488. The 2.02% contribution includes a 1.5% Marketing Fund component.
Core disclosed brand charges on modeled room sales
A reconciled room-revenue bridge using the 2025 average RevPAR and a 200-room hotel.
Interpretation: The remaining $13.26 million is not profit. It still must cover hotel payroll, food and beverage costs, utilities, insurance, real estate and personal property taxes, repairs, management, commissions, loyalty charges, and other operating expenses.
Source: 2026 Autograph Collection Domestic FDD, Item 6, pp. 31–55; independent arithmetic based on Item 19 average RevPAR and the Item 7 200-room format.
No double deduction
The main EBITDA scenario does not subtract these FDD charges a second time. The Host Hotels proxy is an all-in property-level operating margin that already reflects portfolio hotel operating expenses, including management fees and other property-level costs. The fee bridge is shown separately to reveal the brand burden and to prevent readers from mistaking gross room sales for owner earnings.
Which recurring costs remain uncertain?
Several material charges are usage-based or property-specific. The FDD lists a loyalty fee of 4.0% through December 2027 on qualifying revenue generated by customers earning points or miles, plus qualifying event charges; distribution commissions can apply to travel-agency, group-intermediary, online-channel, and optional OTA business. Revenue-management, technology, sales, audit, and compliance costs also vary. Because their bases overlap with operating activity and the external EBITDA proxy is all-in, the model does not layer them onto the margin separately.
A recent CBRE analysis of 4,200 U.S. hotels' 2024 franchise-related fees confirms that royalty, marketing or reservation, and loyalty charges are distinct cost components whose growth can outpace rooms revenue. That industry evidence supports the sensitivity analysis but is not used as an Autograph Collection fee rate.
Owner role
How does owner involvement change the result?
Owner involvement can change where management economics accrue, but it does not convert hotel EBITDA into passive take-home income. The FDD requires a general manager and sales leadership well before opening, and Marriott may require training programs or an approved third-party management company when the proposed operator lacks qualifying experience.
Accordingly, this article does not add back a general-manager salary. An active owner may oversee capital allocation, revenue strategy, management-company performance, and asset management, but the hotel still needs a professional operating organization.
| Ownership structure | How the main estimate applies | What changes economically |
|---|---|---|
| Third-party manager | Use the $5.0M–$9.2M property-level EBITDA range before debt and capital replacement. | Management fees and operator costs remain hotel expenses; owner receives only the residual after financing, reserves, taxes, and distribution policy. |
| Qualified owner-affiliate operator | Hotel EBITDA may be similar, but some management-company economics may remain within the owner's broader enterprise. | The retained amount compensates a real operating platform, personnel, systems, insurance, and oversight. It is not a free addback or passive profit. |
| Financial owner with limited involvement | Use the same property-level EBITDA starting point. | Cash distributions can be materially lower after management, debt service, FF&E reserves, renovations, and owner-level taxes. |
Owner-operator effect
As an order-of-magnitude reference only, CBRE found that full-service and resort hotels paying management fees in 2019 averaged 3.5% of total operating revenue. Applied to the central $24.05 million revenue scenario, that equals about $842,000 of gross management-fee economics. An owner-affiliate might retain some of that amount, but only before funding its own operating platform and assuming the associated responsibilities. This older benchmark is not added to the headline range.
Source: CBRE's management-fee expense study, based on 840 hotels through 2019.
Assumptions and uncertainty
Why is the reasonable earnings range so wide?
The range is wide because same-brand Item 19 evidence stops at room performance. The largest unresolved variable is the relationship between Autograph Collection room revenue, ancillary revenue, and property-level expenses at a specific U.S. hotel.
- Room count: 200 guestrooms, matching the FDD's typical new-build investment format. Existing conversions can differ substantially in size and operating mix.
- Revenue anchor: $197.30 average RevPAR from the 130-hotel 2025 STR Included Hotel population. The analytical revenue spread is 80%, 100%, and 120% of the central estimate; it is not an FDD quartile or probability forecast.
- Ancillary-revenue proxy: Host Hotels' 2025 Total RevPAR-to-room RevPAR ratio of approximately 1.67. A resort, urban convention hotel, or property with extensive food and beverage can differ materially.
- Margin proxy: 28.9% Host comparable-hotel EBITDA margin, with explicit sensitivity of minus or plus three percentage points. Host is a high-end lodging portfolio, not an Autograph Collection franchised-unit sample.
- Included operating burden: Normal property-level operating expenses and management fees are assumed included in the benchmark margin. Franchise charges are not deducted again.
- Excluded from owner take-home: Interest, loan principal, depreciation, personal income taxes, owner draws, distributions, and renewal or replacement capital expenditures.
Debt-service effect
The FDD's Item 7 estimate for a newly constructed 200-room hotel is $71.67 million to $116.29 million before real estate and several other costs. Because the capital structure can dominate annual cash distributions, two owners with identical property-level EBITDA can receive very different cash returns. No debt-service figure is modeled here because the FDD does not prescribe a common financed amount, interest rate, amortization term, or loan-to-cost ratio.
Hotel operating costs also move quickly. Host Hotels reported that higher wages pressured its 2025 comparable-hotel EBITDA margin, while CBRE's hotel research tracks the effects of payroll, insurance, property taxes, utilities, and other operating lines across standardized property statements. See CBRE's Trends in the Hotel Industry methodology and the Host Hotels 2025 Form 10-K for the external benchmark context.
Buyer verification
What should a buyer verify before relying on this range?
A buyer should treat the $5.0 million–$9.2 million range as a screening model and replace every external assumption with property-specific evidence. The most important work is obtaining comparable U.S. hotel profit-and-loss statements and reconciling them to Item 19's exact cohort definitions.
- Request the written substantiation for the 2026 Item 19 tables and ask for a U.S.-only, room-count-matched comparison set if Marriott will provide one.
- Ask current and former franchisees listed in Item 20 for three years of room revenue, total operating revenue, gross operating profit, management fees, franchise fees, EBITDA, FF&E reserve contributions, and owner distributions.
- Separate mature hotels from conversions, newly opened properties, major renovations, resorts, urban convention hotels, and properties with residential components.
- Reconcile the management agreement: base fee, incentive fee, centralized services, termination rights, operator payroll, shared services, and owner approval controls.
- Model loyalty, intermediary, OTA, group-sales, technology, insurance, property tax, utilities, labor, and food-and-beverage costs using the proposed hotel's actual mix.
- Build debt service and capital replacement below property-level EBITDA. Do not use EBITDA as a substitute for distributable cash.
- Confirm whether any oral or written earnings claim appears in Item 19 or in written substantiation. The FTC advises buyers to scrutinize financial performance representations and compare them with franchisee interviews.
Decision view
What is the strongest defensible owner-earnings view?
The strongest defensible range is $5.0 million to $9.2 million of annual property-level EBITDA for a modeled 200-room U.S. hotel, with a base case near $7.0 million. It is a scenario-based estimate with limited confidence, not an official Autograph Collection profit or owner-compensation disclosure.
The most important earnings driver is the combination of RevPAR and ancillary revenue; the largest unresolved uncertainty is the same-brand expense structure after labor, management, loyalty, distribution, property taxes, insurance, and capital requirements. A buyer should verify Item 19 substantiation, obtain comparable hotel operating statements, and test the model through detailed interviews with current and former franchisees before treating any figure as decision-grade.
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