A defensible independent scenario for one mature Homewatch CareGivers territory is approximately $87,000 to $198,000 in annual pre-tax owner earnings under a manager-run structure, with a $137,000 analytical base case. The 2026 Franchise Disclosure Document reports 2025 Gross Revenue and Direct Caregiver Costs, not owner profit. An active owner who replaces a paid health-services manager could have estimated owner-operator benefit of about $196,000 to $307,000, but that larger figure includes the market value of the owner’s labor and is not passive business profit.
This range is an independent analytical scenario, not an Item 19 financial performance representation by Homewatch CareGivers Franchising SPE LLC. It combines identified 2026 FDD facts with a U.S. Census Bureau industry operating-margin proxy and explicit scenario assumptions. Actual results can differ materially by territory, payer mix, service mix, caregiver wages, administrative staffing, insurance, local marketing, financing, owner involvement, licensing requirements, and execution.
Legal franchisor: Homewatch CareGivers Franchising SPE LLC. FDD: issued April 30, 2026. Item 19 status: official 2025 Gross Revenue and Direct Caregiver Costs, but no Operating Profit, EBITDA, Net Income, Cash Flow, Owner Compensation, or owner-earnings disclosure. Population used: mature territories operating for more than four years, plus the separate mature-franchisee caregiver-cost cohort. Benchmarks: U.S. Census Bureau NAICS 6216 employer-firm revenue and expense data and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics manager wages. Checked: July 20, 2026.
What does the 2026 Item 19 actually measure?
Officially, Item 19 measures Gross Revenue by territory and by franchisee, plus Direct Caregiver Costs for a separate mature-franchisee cohort. It does not tell a buyer how much cash remained for the owner after office payroll, recruiting, insurance, rent, technology, marketing, royalties, and other operating expenses. Gross Revenue is therefore a revenue anchor—not owner earnings.
For fiscal 2025, the mature four-plus-year territory cohort contained 174 territories operated by 81 franchisees. Its median Gross Revenue per territory was $945,317, while its average was $1,576,768. Only 21% of those mature territories achieved or exceeded the average, which is why the median is the more conservative central anchor. Source: 2026 FDD, Item 19, Table 1-A, p. 70.
The FDD’s total 2025 median was $665,688 per territory across all ages, versus $945,317 for territories operating more than four years. This age effect is material. A new territory should not be modeled as though it already has mature revenue, and a multi-territory franchisee result should not be treated as a one-territory result.
How broad is the official sample?
The official full-year revenue tables cover 112 franchisees and 214 territories, but exclude several important groups. Item 19 excludes 10 franchisees representing 14 territories that closed during 2025, 36 franchisees representing 43 territories that opened during 2025, and two franchisees representing two territories that did not report a full 12 months of Gross Revenue. These exclusions make the disclosure useful for continuing full-year operations, but less informative about launch risk and closure outcomes.
The Direct Caregiver Costs table uses another population: 94 franchisees operating 201 territories, each in business for at least two years, using the Qvinci aggregation system, and submitting 2025 financial statements. The 49% median ratio is a per-franchisee statistic, not a per-territory earnings measure. Source: 2026 FDD, Item 19, Table 4, p. 73.
How was the owner-earnings range calculated?
The estimate multiplies three transparent revenue scenarios by three transparent operating-margin scenarios. Revenue starts with the official $945,317 mature-territory median. Because the FDD does not publish mature-territory quartiles, the model applies an editorial 80% / 100% / 120% spread. The margin starts with a 14.4% Census-derived operating-surplus proxy and applies minus three / zero / plus three percentage points.
| Scenario | Revenue anchor | Margin assumption | Estimated owner earnings |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Conservative 80% of mature median |
$756,254 | 11.4% | $86,536 |
|
Base 100% of mature median |
$945,317 | 14.4% | $136,529 |
|
Upside 120% of mature median |
$1,134,380 | 17.4% | $197,866 |
Manager-run structure; one mature territory; pre-tax and before financing costs.
Interpretation: The range is driven jointly by revenue scale and margin—not by treating the FDD’s Gross Revenue as income. Sources: 2026 FDD, Item 19, Table 1-A, p. 70; U.S. Census Bureau 2022 Service Annual Survey Tables 2 and 3. Values are independent calculations rounded only for display.
What does the 14.4% margin represent?
It is a derived industry operating-surplus proxy, not a Homewatch CareGivers profit margin. The 2022 Census data for taxable NAICS 6216 employer firms report $88.197 billion of revenue and $75.459 billion of operating expenses. The model calculates ($88.197 billion − $75.459 billion) ÷ $88.197 billion = 14.4%. The official NAICS 6216 profile includes skilled home health as well as personal care, homemaker, and companion services, so it is directionally relevant but broader than one franchise system.
The operating-expense proxy is all-in at the industry level. The model therefore does not subtract Homewatch CareGivers royalties, marketing, or technology fees a second time. The limitation is that the Census industry mix does not prove those franchise-specific obligations are represented in the same proportions. See the Service Annual Survey methodology for population and estimation details.
- Interest: excluded from the operating-margin proxy and must be subtracted separately for a financed business.
- Depreciation: not adjusted or added back; its treatment follows the aggregate Census operating-expense data and is not separately observable here.
- Manager compensation: assumed to be included as a normal operating expense in the manager-run scenario.
- Owner compensation: not included in residual profit; owner labor value is shown separately in the owner-operator scenario.
- Capital expenditures: not modeled as annual cash outlays; equipment replacement and other capital needs can reduce distributable cash.
- Debt principal and personal income taxes: excluded. No after-tax take-home estimate is presented.
How does owner involvement change the result?
An active owner can increase total economic benefit by replacing paid management labor, but the increment is compensation for work—not passive profit. The owner-operator scenario adds $109,300, the May 2023 annual mean wage for Medical and Health Services Managers in the Home Health Care Services industry. The result is labeled estimated owner-operator benefit because it combines residual operating profit with labor value.
The FDD requires a Key Person responsible for day-to-day operational performance, generally owning at least 5% of the franchisee entity unless the franchisor agrees otherwise in writing. That Key Person must complete training and may be required to work at the business office. This structure does not support assuming a completely absentee owner without a qualified, equity-holding operating principal. Source: 2026 FDD, Item 15, pp. 60–61.
The $109,300 gap is the assumed market value of manager labor performed by an active owner.
Interpretation: The owner-role choice changes the form of compensation. It does not create an extra $109,300 of passive profit; the owner must perform management work that otherwise carries a market wage. Source: BLS May 2023 Home Health Care Services occupational wage estimates, occupation 11-9111.
Which costs can move owner earnings most?
Caregiver labor is the largest disclosed operating driver, while recurring franchise and marketing obligations create a second material layer. Item 19 reports a 49% median Direct Caregiver Cost ratio, 36% for the top 20% ranked by lower caregiver-cost percentage, and 59% for the bottom 20%. At $945,317 of revenue, each ten-percentage-point change equals roughly $94,532 before considering any offsetting changes in pricing, utilization, or service mix.
Applying the official 36% to 59% caregiver-cost ratios to the same $945,317 revenue anchor produces an illustrative range of approximately $340,314 to $557,737 in caregiver wages and payroll taxes—a spread of about $217,423. This is not a profit calculation because the FDD ratios are reported by franchisee while the revenue anchor is per territory, and all other expenses remain unmodeled.
How much do the disclosed recurring obligations represent?
At the $945,317 base revenue anchor, the quantifiable obligations below total about $106,945, or 11.3% of revenue. That amount includes required marketing spend and minimum software fees, not only payments retained by the franchisor. It excludes employee-count-based Academy fees, Homewatch Connect packages, insurance, recruiting, office payroll, rent, professional fees, and other variable expenses. The $106,945 is shown for cost visibility and is not subtracted again from the all-in Census margin.
| Recurring obligation | 2026 FDD requirement | Base-revenue illustration | Model treatment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Royalty Fee | 5% of Gross Revenue or minimum royalty, whichever is greater | $47,265.85 | Expected inside all-in margin |
| Brand Fund Contribution | Sliding 2% / 1.5% / 1% / 0.5% tiers | $16,679.76 | Expected inside all-in margin |
| Annual Local Marketing Fee | $24,000 or 3% of Gross Revenue, whichever is greater; website fee credited | $28,359.51 | Required operating spend |
| Additional Local Marketing | At least $500 monthly or $6,000 annually | $6,000 | Required operating spend |
| Technology Fee | Currently $225 monthly per territory | $2,700 | Minimum current amount |
| Care+ software | Currently at least $495 monthly | $5,940 | Minimum; actual fee can vary |
| Known total | Excludes Academy, Homewatch Connect, and variable obligations | $106,945.12 | 11.3% of base revenue |
Sources: 2026 FDD, Item 6, pp. 13–17. TheBrand Fund illustration applies the disclosed tiers to one territory’s modeled revenue; the FDD states that the current policy may combine Gross Revenue across territories for the contribution calculation.
What remains uncertain before a buyer relies on this range?
The largest uncertainty is the undisclosed Homewatch CareGivers expense structure below Direct Caregiver Costs. Item 19 does not provide administrative payroll, recruiting and retention expense, workers’ compensation, insurance, bad debt, office occupancy, professional fees, management compensation, or operating profit. An industry-wide margin cannot reveal how those costs behave in a particular territory.
- Request Item 19 written substantiation. Confirm how Gross Revenue and Direct Caregiver Costs were validated and whether later amendments changed the populations or figures.
- Reconcile outlet counts. Item 19 states 142 franchisees and 264 territories as of December 31, 2025, while Item 20 states 144 franchisees and 260 territories. Ask for the reason and the population used for each table.
- Interview mature single-territory owners. Ask for normalized operating statements separating caregiver payroll, office payroll, owner compensation, recruiting, insurance, rent, marketing, franchise fees, technology, and bad debt.
- Separate owner labor from distributions. Determine whether each owner works as Key Person, employs another qualifying operating principal, or adds professional management beyond the FDD minimum.
- Model local wage and payer economics. Verify bill rates, overtime, travel time, utilization, referral commissions, reimbursement timing, licensing, and workers’ compensation costs in the target state.
- Model financing separately. Subtract interest and principal using the buyer’s actual financed amount, rate, term, and loan fees; do not treat pre-tax operating earnings as personal take-home pay.
The FDD’s revenue table excludes businesses that opened during 2025 and most businesses that closed during the year. The strongest revenue anchor therefore describes a mature continuing-territory cohort, not the first-year experience or the full range of survival outcomes reported in Item 20.
What is the strongest defensible annual earnings range?
For one mature territory, the strongest defensible range is approximately $87,000 to $198,000 in estimated pre-tax owner earnings under a manager-run structure. This is scenario-based, not official. An active owner replacing paid management could have estimated owner-operator benefit of about $196,000 to $307,000, including $109,300 of labor value. The most important earnings driver is the spread between customer bill rates and caregiver labor cost; the largest unresolved uncertainty is the system-specific cost structure below Direct Caregiver Costs. Before relying on the range, a buyer should verify the latest Item 19 and amendments, obtain written substantiation, reconcile the Item 19 and Item 20 populations, and compare normalized financial statements from mature single-territory franchisees operating with the same owner role and payer mix.
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