Annual owner-earnings answer
For one mature U.S. The Grounds Guys franchised business, the strongest defensible estimate is approximately $27,000 to $78,000 a year in pre-tax owner earnings under the scenarios below. An owner who personally performs the manager role could instead receive roughly $102,000 to $153,000 of estimated owner-operator benefit, but that larger figure includes a $75,000 value for the owner's labor and is not passive business profit.
Independent estimate—not an Item 19 earnings claim. The Grounds Guys' 2026 Item 19 reports Gross Sales, not profit, owner compensation, EBITDA, cash flow, or take-home pay. This analysis combines identified FDD facts with a broad operating-margin benchmark and explicit scenario assumptions. Actual results can differ materially because of location, service mix, seasonality, sales, labor productivity, materials, vehicle and equipment costs, insurance, local marketing, financing, owner involvement, and execution.
Legal franchisor: The Grounds Guys SPV LLC. FDD issuance: April 1, 2026. Item 19 status: calendar-year 2025 Gross Sales for 105 reporting businesses open at least three years and 56 reporting businesses open less than three years; all were franchised, with no company-operated outlets. Scenario benchmark: January 2026 NYU Stern “Business & Consumer Services” pre-tax unadjusted operating margin, used only as a broad proxy. Owner-labor framework: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, with a separately labeled editorial wage assumption. Checked: July 14, 2026.
What does The Grounds Guys' 2026 Item 19 actually measure?
It officially measures annual Gross Sales, not owner earnings. For the 105 reporting franchised businesses open at least three years, the 2025 median was $533,092 and the average was $820,392. Only 37 businesses, or 35%, met or exceeded that average.
The younger cohort tells a different ramp-up story. Among 56 reporting franchised businesses open less than three years, median 2025 Gross Sales were $294,312, average Gross Sales were $392,054, and 20 businesses, or 36%, reached or exceeded the average. These are per-business revenue figures, not per-owner income figures.
105 reporting franchised businesses open at least three years; calendar 2025.
The average was materially above the median and should not be treated as typical.
56 reporting franchised businesses open less than three years; calendar 2025.
Approximately 73.5% of the 219 U.S. businesses operating at year-end 2025.
License, MAP, a 5% post-Year-2 local-marketing amount if imposed, base software, and base call-center charges before variable extras.
Official 2025 revenue measures; the gap shows why an average is not a typical-owner earnings figure.
Interpretation: Sales generally rose with business age in the disclosed cohorts, but a few high-revenue businesses pulled the averages above the medians. Only 35% of the mature cohort and 36% of the younger cohort reached their respective averages.
Source: 2026 The Grounds Guys SPV LLC Franchise Disclosure Document, Item 19, pp. 71–73. Gross Sales were franchisee-reported and were not required to follow generally accepted accounting principles.
A business with $533,092 of Gross Sales does not give its owner $533,092 of income. Payroll, payroll taxes, materials and subcontractors, vehicles, fuel, equipment, repairs, insurance, premises, software, call-center charges, franchise fees, required marketing, and other overhead must be paid first.
How were the annual owner-earnings scenarios calculated?
The estimate uses the mature-cohort median Gross Sales as the central revenue anchor, then applies transparent revenue and operating-margin sensitivities. The results are independent scenarios, not results reported by The Grounds Guys.
The 80% and 120% revenue points are editorial modeling spreads because Item 19 does not publish quartiles. The margin anchor is NYU Stern's January 2026 12.27% pre-tax unadjusted operating margin for 155 U.S. public companies classified as Business & Consumer Services. Because those companies are larger and are not a direct match for a single landscaping franchise, the conservative and base scenarios apply six- and three-percentage-point reductions. The upside case reaches the benchmark but does not exceed it.
This is an all-in operating-margin proxy. It is treated as including normal operating expenses, a paid manager, depreciation, and recurring franchise obligations; therefore, the Item 6 fees are not subtracted a second time. It excludes interest, financing principal, personal income taxes, distributions, and capital expenditures. Actual cash available can differ because depreciation is noncash and replacement equipment requires cash.
| Scenario | Revenue anchor | Operating-margin assumption | Estimated pre-tax owner earnings |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Conservative 80% of mature median |
$426,474 | 6.27% | $26,740 |
|
Base 100% of mature median |
$533,092 | 9.27% | $49,418 |
|
Upside 120% of mature median |
$639,710 | 12.27% | $78,492 |
Estimated pre-tax operating earnings before financing principal and personal taxes.
Interpretation: The range is driven jointly by revenue and cost control. It is not a probability forecast, and the midpoint is not labeled “most likely.” A small change in labor utilization, pricing, direct costs, or vehicle and equipment expense can move operating earnings substantially.
Sources and method: 2026 The Grounds Guys SPV LLC FDD, Item 19, pp. 71–73; NYU Stern U.S. operating-margin dataset, January 2026; FranchisesBiz calculations using unrounded inputs.
How does owner involvement change the earnings result?
Owner involvement changes what the number represents. A manager-run business produces residual operating profit for the owner; an owner-operated business can also compensate the owner for performing management work. The second figure is therefore owner-operator benefit, not pure business profit.
Manager-run scenario
$27,000–$78,000Estimated annual pre-tax owner earnings after a normal manager expense is assumed within operating costs. Item 15 says a non-owner manager may supervise only if the franchisor agrees, and the manager must complete required training.
Owner-operator scenario
$102,000–$153,000Estimated owner-operator benefit after adding a $75,000 editorial manager-wage proxy to the residual profit. About $75,000 of the result compensates the owner for labor and responsibility rather than representing passive return.
The 2026 FDD generally requires an individual owner to perform or supervise the business unless The Grounds Guys consents otherwise. For an entity, direct on-site supervision generally must be performed by a trained designated owner unless the franchisor consents to a manager. The brand's official U.S. franchise information likewise describes the owner as leading service professionals, building community relationships, and serving as the face of sales and marketing.
At the base scenario, estimated residual operating profit is $49,418. Adding the illustrative $75,000 manager-wage proxy produces about $124,418 of owner-operator benefit. The $75,000 is an editorial assumption informed by the BLS May 2025 Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics tables; it is not a Grounds Guys disclosure, and local compensation, payroll burden, benefits, and the owner's actual workload may differ.
Which FDD fees reduce the operating cushion?
At the base revenue anchor, the modeled license fee, MAP fee, a 5% post-Year-2 local-marketing amount if imposed under the FDD’s reserved right, base software fee, and base call-center fee total about $79,555 a year, or 14.9% of Gross Sales. This is a derived FDD cost burden, not the business's complete expense structure.
| Recurring item | FDD treatment used | Base-scenario annual amount |
|---|---|---|
| License Fee | 6% of Gross Sales because prior-year sales are modeled below $750,001. | $31,986 |
| MAP Fee | 2% of Gross Sales. | $10,662 |
| Local marketing | 5% of prior-year Gross Sales, which exceeds $20,000, modeled only if the franchisor exercises its post-Year-2 right to require that amount. | $26,655 |
| Software and base call center | $654.45 monthly software fee plus $199.99 monthly call-center base charge. | $10,253 |
| Modeled subtotal | 13% of Gross Sales plus $10,253 in annual base charges. | $79,555 |
Variable call-center appointment charges, additional users, QuickBooks service, reunion travel, Local Marketing Group assessments, Key Accounts fees, supplier costs, and other contingent charges are not included in that subtotal. Initial franchise fees and the Item 7 startup investment are also excluded because they are not recurring annual operating expenses.
The scenario margin is an all-in proxy, so the $79,555 is shown to reveal the franchise and marketing burden—not deducted again from the estimated owner earnings.
Why is the evidence confidence limited?
Confidence is LIMITED because the current same-brand FDD gives strong revenue evidence but no same-brand operating expense, profit, owner compensation, or cash-flow evidence. The largest modeling uncertainty is the operating margin after labor, direct costs, fleet and equipment expense, insurance, and required franchise obligations.
- Sales population
- Item 19 includes 161 reporting businesses across two age cohorts, all franchised, that reported at least nine months of 2025 Gross Sales.
- Excluded operations
- The disclosure identifies new businesses, ownership transfers, closed businesses, and seasonally operated businesses that lacked nine reported months. Those exclusions can make the reporting cohort stronger or simply different from the full system.
- Reporting quality
- Franchisees supplied the Gross Sales data through the software system and were not required to use generally accepted accounting principles.
- Benchmark mismatch
- The margin proxy covers public Business & Consumer Services companies, not single-unit Grounds Guys franchisees. Scale, capital structure, service mix, and fee economics differ.
- System movement
- Item 20 reports 229 franchised outlets at the start of 2025 and 219 at year-end, a net change of -10, plus eight transfers. There were no company-owned outlets to provide a same-brand corporate operating-margin proxy.
The disclosed high and low mature-cohort Gross Sales—$3,588,439 and $42,555—show extreme dispersion. That spread makes a single “average owner salary” especially misleading. Territory, climate, recurring-contract density, commercial versus residential mix, snow revenue, crew utilization, pricing discipline, and business maturity can dominate the result.
What should a buyer verify before relying on this range?
A buyer should treat the range as a screening model and replace every material assumption with territory-specific evidence. Item 19 says written substantiation is available to prospective franchisees on reasonable request.
- Request the written Item 19 substantiation and reconcile the reported businesses, reporting months, transfers, closures, and seasonal exclusions.
- Interview mature franchisees separately by owner-operated and manager-run structure; ask for normalized income statements rather than verbal “take-home” numbers.
- Verify labor hours, crew wages, payroll burden, manager compensation, subcontractor use, workers' compensation, and owner hours required during peak season.
- Confirm current license, MAP, local marketing, software, call-center appointment, Local Marketing Group, and Key Accounts charges in writing.
- Model vehicles, fuel, repairs, equipment replacement, materials, insurance, premises, bad debt, and weather-related downtime for the proposed territory.
- Keep debt service separate. Financing interest and principal can reduce cash distributions even when unit-level operating earnings are positive.
- Do not estimate after-tax take-home pay from this article; entity structure, jurisdiction, deductions, and owner circumstances control the tax result.
What is the most defensible earnings range to use?
Use approximately $27,000 to $78,000 per year as a manager-run, pre-tax owner-earnings scenario for one mature U.S. franchised business, not as an official franchise earnings claim. For an owner who replaces a paid manager, the comparable estimated owner-operator benefit is about $102,000 to $153,000, including the modeled value of the owner's labor.
The most important earnings driver is the interaction between Gross Sales and labor productivity. The largest unresolved uncertainty is the absence of same-brand expense and profit data. Before making a decision, verify Item 19 substantiation, current Item 6 obligations, actual manager-versus-owner labor economics, and normalized financial statements from current and former franchisees whose business age, climate, territory, and service mix resemble the proposed operation.